Bitcoin Power Law

Logarithmic model (Santostasi) vs Real Price

Fair Price

$128,860

Ceiling (3.0x)

$386,580

Floor (0.5x)

$64,430

Real Price

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Ceiling (3.0x)

Model

Real Price

Support (0.5x)

Understanding Power Law

A mathematical model developed by Giovanni Santostasi describing Bitcoin price growth since genesis through logarithmic regression.

It provides reference bands to identify if the price is overvalued (ceiling) or undervalued (floor).

Ceiling (3.0x): Extreme overvaluation. Historically followed by corrections.

Fair Price: Theoretical center line. Time-based equilibrium.

Floor (0.5x): Historical support. Key accumulation opportunities.

Real Price: Orange line shows actual market price.

Future zones (where there is no orange line) are mathematical extrapolations. There is no "real price" in the future, only theoretical bands.

Price = 10^(-1.779) × (years since genesis)^(5.566)